Belgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF · ACFF - 2814:00
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Sunday, 15 March 2026

Complexe Sportif de Ganshoren · Analysis updated 14:47 UTC

Ganshoren vs Raeren-Eynatten Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Ganshoren and 1.28 for Raeren-Eynatten, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Ganshoren the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Ganshoren home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Raeren-Eynatten away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Ganshoren to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 25% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Ganshoren and 1.28 for Raeren-Eynatten, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Ganshoren win43%
Draw25%
Raeren-Eynatten win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 1–27.6%

Recent form

Ganshoren

  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Mouscronnois · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs RUS Binche · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen II · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 4-0 (W)

Raeren-Eynatten

  • 2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Flénu · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs RUS Binche · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-03-28T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Braine · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-03-15T14:00:00.000Z · Ganshoren 1-2 Raeren-Eynatten (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
  • 2025-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · Ganshoren 4-1 Raeren-Eynatten (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
  • 2025-03-09T14:00:00.000Z · Ganshoren 1-1 Raeren-Eynatten (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
  • 2024-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · Ganshoren 3-0 Raeren-Eynatten (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)

Second Amateur Division - ACFF table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Jette8530918
2Crossing Schaerbeek8521817
3SG-Tertre-Hautrage8512416
4Stade Mouscronnois8422514
5Braine8422414
6Ganshoren8413613
7AS Eupen II8332112
8RUS Binche8332-212
9Stade Verviers8323411
10Richelle United8323211
11Huy8323-311
12Acren-Lessines8314210
13La Calamine8314110
14Ostiches8242-110
15Stockay-Warfusée8233-39
16Entité Manageoise8125-85
17Union Namur8116-144
18Aywaille8017-151

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.