· Analysis updated 03:37 UTC
Garden Stars vs All Saints United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.93 expected goals for Garden Stars and 1.59 for All Saints United, a combined total of 4.51. That distribution gives Garden Stars the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Garden Stars win
65.0% probability
Expected goals
2.93 – 1.59
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
All Saints United away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Garden Stars to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 16% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.93 goals for Garden Stars and 1.59 for All Saints United, a combined 4.51 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 75%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 3–17.3%
- 2–25.9%
- 3–25.8%
- 4–15.3%
Recent form
Garden Stars
All Saints United
- 2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Garden Stars · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoppers · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Mount Pleasant Academy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-10T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenades · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-03T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Potters Tigers · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potters Tigers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Garden Stars | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Grenades | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Pigotts Bullets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hoppers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | All Saints United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | Freemansville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 9 | Old Road | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Garden Stars win, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.