· Analysis updated 08:25 UTC
Gaziemirspor vs Eskişehirspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Gaziemirspor and 2.14 for Eskişehirspor, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives Eskişehirspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Eskişehirspor win
54.8% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.14
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eskişehirspor away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eskişehirspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 24% / 21% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Gaziemirspor and 2.14 for Eskişehirspor, a combined 3.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.4%
- 1–18.7%
- 0–26.8%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
Gaziemirspor
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karsiyaka · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Denizli İYG · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bucaspor 1928 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Söke 1970 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ayvalikgucu · 0-3 (L)
Eskişehirspor
- 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Etimesgut SK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Akşehirspor · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Akşehirspor · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Balıkesirspor · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bigaspor · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Lig - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nilüfer Belediye | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Etimesgut SK | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Balıkesirspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Eskişehirspor | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 15 |
| 6 | Anadolu Üniversitesi | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | Ayvalikgucu | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Bigaspor | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Karsiyaka | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Gaziemirspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Altay | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Söke 1970 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Uşak Spor | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Bucaspor 1928 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Denizli İYG | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Kepezspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Alanya 1221 FK | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | Akşehirspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -15 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eskişehirspor win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.