Algeria · Ligue 2 · Matchweek 2414:00
GC MascaraWWWWD

0 – 1

Saturday, 28 March 2026

· Analysis updated 02:33 UTC

GC Mascara vs JS Tixeraine Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for GC Mascara and 0.85 for JS Tixeraine, a combined total of 2.48. That distribution gives GC Mascara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

GC Mascara win

55.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.63 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • GC Mascara home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates GC Mascara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 25% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.63 goals for GC Mascara and 0.85 for JS Tixeraine, a combined 2.48 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 45% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Match result (1X2)

GC Mascara win56%
Draw25%
JS Tixeraine win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–013.7%
  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–011.1%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–08.4%

Recent form

GC Mascara

  • 2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs RC Kouba · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Usm El Harrach · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs MC Saida · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs WA Mostaganem · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs RC Arba · 2-1 (W)

JS Tixeraine

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Azazga7421514
    2MSP Batna7421314
    3USM Annaba7412613
    4JSM Skikda6402312
    5Khroub7331212
    6NC Magra7322-111
    7MO Bejaia6312310
    8MO Constantine7241110
    9CA Batna723219
    10Teleghma7223-18
    11Nrb Beni Oulbene7223-18
    12US Chaouia7223-48
    13Paradou AC621307
    14IRB Nezla6114-44
    15CR Béni Thour6105-73
    16JS Jijel6024-62
    1GC Mascara7520917
    2Blida7520917
    3RC Kouba74301015
    4MC Saida6420414
    5ASM Oran7322611
    6Usm El Harrach7322211
    7Mostaganem7322211
    8Sidi Benali7322011
    9Hussein Dey7304-19
    10WA Mostaganem7142-17
    11WA Tlemcen6213-37
    12Tiaret712415
    13RC Arba4103-53
    14El Bayadh7034-63
    15Koléa6105-83
    16Taghit7016-191

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is GC Mascara win, at 55.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.

    A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.