Gebenbach vs Würzburger FV Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Gebenbach and 2.18 for Würzburger FV, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Würzburger FV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Würzburger FV win

64.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 2.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Gebenbach home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Würzburger FV away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Gebenbach win16%

Draw20%

Würzburger FV win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

84%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

0–29.9%
1–29.9%
0–19.1%
1–19.1%
0–37.2%

Recent form

Gebenbach

2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jahn Regensburg II · 1-6 (L)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Großbardorf · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stadeln · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Regensburg · 1-1 (D)

Würzburger FV

2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stadeln · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Regensburg · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiden · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayern Hof · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kornburg · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-03-01T11:30:00.000Z · Gebenbach 0-1 Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · Gebenbach 7-0 Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2024-11-02T13:00:00.000Z · Gebenbach 2-1 Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2024-07-27T13:00:00.000Z · Gebenbach 2-2 Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2024-03-16T14:00:00.000Z · Gebenbach 4-2 Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2023-09-02T12:00:00.000Z · Gebenbach 3-2 Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2023-05-27T12:00:00.000Z · Gebenbach 2-1 Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2022-10-29T14:00:00.000Z · Gebenbach 2-1 Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)

Oberliga - Bayern Nord table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cham	16	14	1	1	29	43
2	Würzburger FV	16	9	4	3	13	31
3	Bayern Hof	16	8	5	3	11	29
4	Eintracht Bamberg	15	8	4	3	13	28
5	Kornburg	15	7	6	2	14	27
6	Gebenbach	16	8	3	5	1	27
7	Jahn Regensburg II	16	7	5	4	10	26
8	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	16	6	5	5	6	23
9	Fortuna Regensburg	16	6	4	6	8	22
10	Stadeln	16	5	6	5	-7	21
11	Neudrossenfeld	16	6	1	9	-5	19
12	Großbardorf	16	6	1	9	-7	19
13	Weiden	16	4	5	7	-8	17
14	Ammerthal	16	4	3	9	-14	15
15	DJK Bamberg	16	3	5	8	-14	14
16	Nordlingen	16	3	5	8	-16	14
17	Ingolstadt II	16	3	4	9	-11	13
18	ASV Neumarkt	16	1	3	12	-23	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Würzburger FV win, at 64.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.