Futbalový štadión FK Geča · Analysis updated 13:20 UTC
Geča vs Liptovský Mikuláš Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Geča and 1.62 for Liptovský Mikuláš, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Liptovský Mikuláš the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.5% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.62
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Geča home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Liptovský Mikuláš away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Liptovský Mikuláš to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 35% / 24% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Geča and 1.62 for Liptovský Mikuláš, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–06.7%
Recent form
Geča
- 2026-08-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Spišská Nová Ves · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-09-03T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotíva Košice · 2-4 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kechnec · 2-0 (W)
- 2024-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 1-6 (L)
- 2024-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bidovce · 3-0 (W)
Liptovský Mikuláš
- 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Šamorín · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Malženice · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Levoča · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlaté Moravce · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.