Futbalový štadión FK Geča · Analysis updated 16:01 UTC
Geča vs Slávia TU Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.77 expected goals for Geča and 1.91 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Slávia TU Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.7% probability
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Geča home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slávia TU Košice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slávia TU Košice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 36% / 22% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.77 goals for Geča and 1.91 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.5%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.2%
Recent form
Geča
- 2026-08-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Spišská Nová Ves · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-09-03T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotíva Košice · 2-4 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kechnec · 2-0 (W)
- 2024-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 1-6 (L)
- 2024-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bidovce · 3-0 (W)
Slávia TU Košice
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Snina · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Medzev · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Raslavice · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Poprad · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lipany · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.