Senegal · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2717:00

3 – 0

Wednesday, 13 May 2026

· Analysis updated 09:12 UTC

Génération Foot vs AS Camberene Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Génération Foot and 0.33 for AS Camberene, a combined total of 1.50. That distribution gives Génération Foot the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 19% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Génération Foot win

58.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.18 – 0.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Génération Foot home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • AS Camberene away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Génération Foot to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 32% / 10% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.18 goals for Génération Foot and 0.33 for AS Camberene, a combined 1.50 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Génération Foot win58%
Draw32%
AS Camberene win10%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals44%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams to score19%

Correct score

  • 1–026.2%
  • 0–022.3%
  • 2–015.4%
  • 1–18.5%
  • 0–17.3%

Recent form

Génération Foot

  • 2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z · A vs AJEL · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Pikine · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AJEL · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ouakam · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs HLM · 1-0 (W)

AS Camberene

  • 2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Jaraaf · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pikine · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonacos · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Génération Foot · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs La Linguère · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Génération Foot211034
2Jaraaf211024
3Gorée211024
4Wally Daan211024
5HLM211014
6Guédiawaye211014
7Diambars210103
8AJEL202002
9Stade de Mbour202002
10DSC2011-11
11Essamaye2011-11
12Casa Sport2011-21
13Pikine2011-31
14Teungueth000000
15Ouakam1001-20
16La Linguère1001-20

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Génération Foot win, at 58.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 19% and over 2.5 goals at 19%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.