· Analysis updated 17:20 UTC
Genk W vs Zulte-Waregem W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Genk W and 0.96 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined total of 2.71. That distribution gives Genk W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Genk W win
56.0% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 0.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Genk W home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Zulte-Waregem W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Genk W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 24% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Genk W and 0.96 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined 2.71 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–06.7%
Recent form
Genk W
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liege W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Gent W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:30:00.000Z · H vs OH Leuven W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-4 (L)
Zulte-Waregem W
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Genk W win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.