Belgium · Super League Women · Losers Stage17:30
Gent WLLLLL

0 – 1

Saturday, 2 May 2026

· Analysis updated 13:02 UTC

Gent W vs Zulte-Waregem W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Gent W and 1.75 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Zulte-Waregem W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Zulte-Waregem W win

45.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gent W home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zulte-Waregem W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Gent W win32%
Draw23%
Zulte-Waregem W win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 2–26.5%

Recent form

Gent W

  • 2026-05-23T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Westerlo W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zulte-Waregem W · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Genk W · 2-2 (D)

Zulte-Waregem W

  • 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · Gent W 1-4 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2026-05-02T17:30:00.000Z · Gent W 0-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2026-02-14T15:00:00.000Z · Gent W 1-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2025-12-13T18:30:00.000Z · Gent W 0-2 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · Gent W 0-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2025-05-09T18:30:00.000Z · Gent W 0-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2025-04-19T14:00:00.000Z · Gent W 0-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z · Gent W 3-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2024-11-08T19:30:00.000Z · Gent W 0-3 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
  • 2024-09-07T14:00:00.000Z · Gent W 3-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)

Super League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Anderlecht W76011418
2Club Brugge W75201117
3OH Leuven W73311212
4Genk W7322011
5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
6Standard Liege W7304-89
7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
8Gent W7007-200

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zulte-Waregem W win, at 45.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.