· Analysis updated 16:33 UTC
Gent W vs Zulte-Waregem W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Gent W and 1.83 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Zulte-Waregem W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zulte-Waregem W win
48.7% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gent W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zulte-Waregem W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–17.6%
- 0–27.0%
- 2–17.0%
Recent form
Gent W
- 2026-05-23T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Westerlo W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zulte-Waregem W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Genk W · 2-2 (D)
Zulte-Waregem W
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · Gent W 1-4 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2026-05-02T17:30:00.000Z · Gent W 0-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2026-02-14T15:00:00.000Z · Gent W 1-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2025-12-13T18:30:00.000Z · Gent W 0-2 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · Gent W 0-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2025-05-09T18:30:00.000Z · Gent W 0-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2025-04-19T14:00:00.000Z · Gent W 0-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z · Gent W 3-0 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2024-11-08T19:30:00.000Z · Gent W 0-3 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
- 2024-09-07T14:00:00.000Z · Gent W 3-1 Zulte-Waregem W (Super League Women)
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zulte-Waregem W win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.