Tampines Stadium · Analysis updated 08:11 UTC
Geylang International vs Albirex Niigata S Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for Geylang International and 1.72 for Albirex Niigata S, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives Geylang International the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.4% probability
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Geylang International home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Albirex Niigata S away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Geylang International to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 22% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.79 goals for Geylang International and 1.72 for Albirex Niigata S, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.3%
Recent form
Geylang International
- 2026-05-15T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-09T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Young Lions · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-02T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Home United · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-19T12:20:00.000Z · H vs Tanjong Pagar · 2-1 (W)
Albirex Niigata S
- 2026-09-18T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Hougang United · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Young Lions · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Young Lions · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Home United · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-04T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Young Lions · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata S | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Geylang International | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Tampines Rovers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanjong Pagar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Home United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Hougang United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 7 | Balestier Khalsa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | Young Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.