Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Poli Timisoara 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.56 expected goals for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii and 0.98 for Poli Timisoara 2, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win

71.4% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.56 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Poli Timisoara 2 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 16% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.56 goals for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii and 0.98 for Poli Timisoara 2, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win71%

Draw16%

Poli Timisoara 2 win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

2–09.5%
2–19.3%
3–08.1%
3–17.9%
1–07.5%

Recent form

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii

2026-10-09T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Pecica · 5-0 (W)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetate Deva · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Poli Timisoara 2 · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Arad · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nera Bogodinţi · 2-1 (W)

Poli Timisoara 2

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Arad · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nera Bogodinţi · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Alba Iulia · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalurgistul Cugir · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga III - Serie 7 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	10	7	2	1	24	23
2	Timişul Şag	10	6	2	2	7	20
3	Cetate Deva	10	5	3	2	8	18
4	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	10	5	3	2	6	18
5	CIL Blaj	10	5	3	2	3	18
6	Viitorul Arad	10	5	3	2	2	18
7	Unirea Sântana	10	5	1	4	6	16
8	Metalurgistul Cugir	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	Progresul Pecica	10	3	1	6	-8	10
10	Poli Timisoara 2	10	2	1	7	-12	7
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	10	0	4	6	-12	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	10	0	2	8	-22	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win, at 71.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.