Gigant Saedinenie vs Zagorets Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Gigant Saedinenie and 1.25 for Zagorets, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Gigant Saedinenie the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Gigant Saedinenie win

48.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Gigant Saedinenie home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zagorets away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Gigant Saedinenie win49%

Draw24%

Zagorets win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.0%
2–19.5%
1–08.8%
2–07.6%
1–26.9%

Recent form

Gigant Saedinenie

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sozopol · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodopa Smolyan · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Levski Karlovo · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Levski Krumovgrad · 0-2 (L)

Zagorets

2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rilski Sportist · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Botev Plovdiv II · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Neftochimic Burgas · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletik Kuklen · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dimitrovgrad · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 4-2 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2025-11-01T12:30:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 0-0 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2025-04-12T14:00:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 0-3 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2024-10-05T13:00:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 1-0 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2024-05-18T15:00:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 0-2 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2023-11-11T12:30:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 0-3 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2023-04-22T14:00:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 0-2 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2022-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 0-0 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2022-05-11T15:00:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 2-1 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)
2021-11-06T12:30:00.000Z · Gigant Saedinenie 1-3 Zagorets (Third League - Southeast)

Third League - Southeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levski Krumovgrad	12	12	0	0	28	36
2	Maritsa Milevo	12	9	1	2	15	28
3	Spartak Plovdiv	11	9	0	2	13	27
4	Neftochimic Burgas	11	7	1	3	8	22
5	Sayana Haskovo	12	6	4	2	8	22
6	Yambol 1915	12	6	2	4	15	20
7	Rodopa Smolyan	12	6	2	4	0	20
8	Gigant Saedinenie	12	6	1	5	3	19
9	Sozopol	12	5	1	6	1	16
10	Rozova dolina	12	3	7	2	0	16
11	Dimitrovgrad	12	4	2	6	1	14
12	Zagorets	12	4	2	6	-9	14
13	Botev Plovdiv II	12	2	5	5	-5	11
14	Maritsa Plovdiv	11	2	2	7	-8	8
15	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	12	2	2	8	-21	8
16	Atletik Kuklen	11	2	1	8	-16	7
17	Sekirovo Rakovski	12	1	3	8	-14	6
18	Levski Karlovo	12	2	0	10	-19	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Gigant Saedinenie win, at 48.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.