· Analysis updated 14:47 UTC
Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Godoy Cruz Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Gimnasia La Plata Res. and 0.71 for Godoy Cruz Res., a combined total of 1.63. That distribution gives Gimnasia La Plata Res. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 23% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
73.5% probability
Expected goals
0.93 – 0.71
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gimnasia La Plata Res. home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Godoy Cruz Res. away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 35% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.93 goals for Gimnasia La Plata Res. and 0.71 for Godoy Cruz Res., a combined 1.63 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
66%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–019.5%
- 1–018.1%
- 0–113.8%
- 1–112.8%
- 2–08.4%
Recent form
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
- 2026-10-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Talleres Córdoba Res. · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Banfield Res. · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosario Central Res. · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Tigre Res. · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes La Plata Res · 2-0 (W)
Godoy Cruz Res.
- 2026-09-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Tigre Res. · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs San Lorenzo Res. · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Vélez Sársfield Res. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-11T22:00:00.000Z · A vs River Plate Res. · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Racing Club Res. · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 73.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 31% and over 2.5 goals at 23%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.