Victor Legrotaglie · Analysis updated 13:39 UTC
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 vs Talleres Córdoba Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.87 expected goals for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 and 0.83 for Talleres Córdoba Res., a combined total of 1.71. That distribution gives Gimnasia Mendoza 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 34%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 34% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.1% probability
Expected goals
0.87 – 0.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gimnasia Mendoza 2 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 34%, against 34% / 34% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.87 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 and 0.83 for Talleres Córdoba Res., a combined 1.71 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% and both teams to score at 33%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
66%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–018.2%
- 1–015.8%
- 0–115.1%
- 1–113.2%
- 2–06.9%
Recent form
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
- 2026-08-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs San Lorenzo Res. · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Vélez Sársfield Res. · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs River Plate Res. · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Club Res. · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-07-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sarmiento Res. · 0-1 (L)
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.