· Analysis updated 14:27 UTC
Gimnastic vs Huesca Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.45 expected goals for Gimnastic and 1.65 for Huesca, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Huesca the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Huesca win
67.2% probability
Expected goals
0.45 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gimnastic home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Huesca to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 10% / 23% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.45 goals for Gimnastic and 1.65 for Huesca, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 29%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–120.2%
- 0–216.7%
- 0–012.2%
- 0–39.2%
- 1–19.1%
Recent form
Gimnastic
- 2026-09-26T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Sant Andreu · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Alcorcon · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Algeciras · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:45:00.000Z · A vs FC Cartagena · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-30T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Zaragoza · 2-0 (W)
Huesca
- 2026-10-04T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Europa Fc · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Teruel · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Atlético Madrid II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Villarreal II · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Real Jaén · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Huesca win, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.