Gimpo Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Gimpo Citizen and 1.00 for Gyeongnam FC, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Gimpo Citizen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Gimpo Citizen to Win

47.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Gimpo Citizen win47%

Draw27%

Gyeongnam FC win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

1–012.6%
1–112.6%
2–09.0%
2–19.0%
0–08.8%

Why the model likes this

Gimpo Citizen home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gimpo Citizen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 27% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 1.00 for Gyeongnam FC, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Gimpo Citizen

2026-08-07T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Cheongju · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-02T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyeongnam FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Incheon United · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-26T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Yongin City · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-18T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Daegu FC · 1-1 (D)

Gyeongnam FC

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

K League 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	21	12	5	4	12	41
2	Suwon City FC	20	10	7	3	15	37
3	Busan I Park	21	11	4	6	8	37
4	Seoul E-Land FC	20	11	4	5	11	37
5	Hwaseong	21	10	6	5	12	36
6	Daegu FC	20	10	5	5	9	35
7	Gimpo Citizen	20	7	9	4	4	30
8	Asan Mugunghwa	20	7	7	6	5	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	21	6	8	7	-1	26
10	Seongnam FC	19	5	8	6	-2	23
11	Yongin City	20	4	10	6	-4	22
12	Cheongju	21	3	13	5	-9	22
13	Paju Citizen	20	6	3	11	-6	21
14	Cheonan City	20	4	8	8	-3	20
15	Ansan Greeners	20	5	4	11	-16	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	20	2	7	11	-14	13
17	Gimhae City	20	2	6	12	-21	12

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.