Gimpo Citizen vs Seongnam FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.83 for Seongnam FC, a combined total of 2.08. That distribution gives Gimpo Citizen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Gimpo Citizen to Win

45.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Gimpo Citizen win46%

Draw29%

Seongnam FC win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%

Over 2.5 goals35%

Over 3.5 goals16%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

1–015.6%
1–113.0%
0–012.5%
0–110.4%
2–09.7%

Why the model likes this

Gimpo Citizen home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gimpo Citizen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 29% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.83 for Seongnam FC, a combined 2.08 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 40%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Recent form

Gimpo Citizen

2026-08-07T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Cheongju · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-02T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyeongnam FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Incheon United · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-26T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Yongin City · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-18T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Daegu FC · 1-1 (D)

Seongnam FC

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

K League 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	21	12	5	4	12	41
2	Suwon City FC	20	10	7	3	15	37
3	Busan I Park	21	11	4	6	8	37
4	Seoul E-Land FC	20	11	4	5	11	37
5	Hwaseong	21	10	6	5	12	36
6	Daegu FC	20	10	5	5	9	35
7	Gimpo Citizen	20	7	9	4	4	30
8	Asan Mugunghwa	20	7	7	6	5	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	21	6	8	7	-1	26
10	Seongnam FC	19	5	8	6	-2	23
11	Yongin City	20	4	10	6	-4	22
12	Cheongju	21	3	13	5	-9	22
13	Paju Citizen	20	6	3	11	-6	21
14	Cheonan City	20	4	8	8	-3	20
15	Ansan Greeners	20	5	4	11	-16	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	20	2	7	11	-14	13
17	Gimhae City	20	2	6	12	-21	12

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.