Gjøvik Stadion · Analysis updated 16:50 UTC
Gjøvik-Lyn vs Eidsvold Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Gjøvik-Lyn and 1.83 for Eidsvold, a combined total of 3.97. That distribution gives Gjøvik-Lyn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gjøvik-Lyn win
45.6% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gjøvik-Lyn home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eidsvold away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gjøvik-Lyn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 21% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.14 goals for Gjøvik-Lyn and 1.83 for Eidsvold, a combined 3.97 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.9%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.8%
- 3–15.6%
Recent form
Gjøvik-Lyn
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bjørkelangen · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Raelingen · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sarpsborg 08 II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Drøbak / Frogn · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyn II · 2-0 (W)
Eidsvold
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rana · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trygg/Lade · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Follo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongsvinger · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ull/Kisa · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gjøvik-Lyn win, at 45.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.