Stadion miejski w Katowicach · Referee B. Csonka · Analysis updated 10:08 UTC
GKS Katowice vs Žilina Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for GKS Katowice and 2.00 for Žilina, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Žilina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Žilina win
60.6% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–110.0%
- 0–210.0%
- 1–110.0%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–36.6%
Why the model likes this
GKS Katowice home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Žilina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 18% / 21% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for GKS Katowice and 2.00 for Žilina, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 55%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
GKS Katowice
- 2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Tel Aviv · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Tel Aviv · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-02T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Radomiak Radom · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Žilina · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-26T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Wisla Krakow · 1-2 (L)
Žilina
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.