· Analysis updated 05:23 UTC
GKS Katowice W vs UJ Krakow W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.18 expected goals for GKS Katowice W and 0.93 for UJ Krakow W, a combined total of 4.12. That distribution gives GKS Katowice W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
GKS Katowice W win
80.9% probability
Expected goals
3.18 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
GKS Katowice W home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
UJ Krakow W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
19%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–08.8%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–17.7%
- 4–07.0%
Recent form
GKS Katowice W
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs UJ Krakow W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Łęczna W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 3-3 (D)
UJ Krakow W
- 2026-10-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznan W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs GKS Katowice W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T10:45:00.000Z · A vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · GKS Katowice W 3-0 UJ Krakow W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2026-03-14T16:30:00.000Z · GKS Katowice W 3-2 UJ Krakow W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2025-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · GKS Katowice W 2-0 UJ Krakow W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2024-05-05T15:00:00.000Z · GKS Katowice W 2-0 UJ Krakow W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2023-10-15T11:00:00.000Z · GKS Katowice W 1-1 UJ Krakow W (Ekstraliga Women)
Ekstraliga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Czarni Sosnowiec W | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Akademia Piłkarska LG W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Legia W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | UJ Krakow W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Sleza Wroclaw W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala W | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 11 | UKS Łódź W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw W | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is GKS Katowice W win, at 80.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.