· Analysis updated 23:29 UTC
Glacis United vs Hound Dogs Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Glacis United and 0.88 for Hound Dogs, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Glacis United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Glacis United win
70.2% probability
Expected goals
2.35 – 0.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Glacis United home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hound Dogs away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Glacis United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 18% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for Glacis United and 0.88 for Hound Dogs, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 3–08.6%
- 1–18.2%
Recent form
Glacis United
- 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Lions Gibraltar · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Lynx · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Mons Calpe · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Europa · 2-2 (D)
Hound Dogs
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Europa Point · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Magpies · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Lions Gibraltar · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-21T19:00:00.000Z · H vs College 1975 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-03-08T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Lions Gibraltar · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magpies | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | St Joseph S Fc | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Mons Calpe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Glacis United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Lions Gibraltar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Europa Point | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Europa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | College 1975 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Hound Dogs | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 11 | Lynx | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Glacis United win, at 70.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.