· Analysis updated 06:54 UTC
Glentoran BU W vs Cliftonville W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.97 expected goals for Glentoran BU W and 1.95 for Cliftonville W, a combined total of 4.93. That distribution gives Glentoran BU W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Glentoran BU W win
58.8% probability
Expected goals
2.97 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Glentoran BU W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Cliftonville W away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Glentoran BU W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 17% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.97 goals for Glentoran BU W and 1.95 for Cliftonville W, a combined 4.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.3%
- 3–16.2%
- 2–26.1%
- 3–26.1%
- 4–14.6%
Recent form
Glentoran BU W
- 2026-10-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Cliftonville W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lisburn Ladies W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Linfield W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-07T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Linfield W · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Lisburn Ladies W · 4-0 (W)
Cliftonville W
- 2026-10-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Glentoran BU W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Linfield W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lisburn Rangers W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Derry City W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Glentoran BU W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premiership Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crusaders W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Glentoran BU W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 |
| 3 | Cliftonville W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 |
| 4 | Linfield W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 |
| 5 | Derry City W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lisburn Ladies W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -22 | 4 |
| 7 | Larne W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -19 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Glentoran BU W win, at 58.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.