· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Gloggnitz vs Favoritner AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Gloggnitz and 0.98 for Favoritner AC, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives Gloggnitz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.3% probability
Expected goals
1.16 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gloggnitz home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Favoritner AC away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gloggnitz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 29% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.16 goals for Gloggnitz and 0.98 for Favoritner AC, a combined 2.15 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.6%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–011.7%
- 0–111.5%
- 2–07.9%
Recent form
Gloggnitz
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Traiskirchen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fach-Donaufeld · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Horn · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf · 2-3 (L)
Favoritner AC
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Parndorf · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Krems / Rehberg · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Donau · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Leobendorf · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | Oberwart | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Wiener SC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Scheiblingkirchen | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Traiskirchen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Wiener Viktoria | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Krems / Rehberg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Fach-Donaufeld | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Parndorf | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Leobendorf | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Favoritner AC | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Donau | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Gloggnitz | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | SV Horn | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -30 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.