· Analysis updated 10:09 UTC
Gloria Băneasa vs Voluntari II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Gloria Băneasa and 1.50 for Voluntari II, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Gloria Băneasa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.7% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gloria Băneasa home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Voluntari II away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.6%
Recent form
Gloria Băneasa
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Fundulea · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Agricola Borcea · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Oţelul II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunarea Calarasi · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Înainte Modelu · 0-1 (L)
Voluntari II
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja · 3-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 3-0 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2025-12-06T12:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 2-2 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2025-09-24T14:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 2-3 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2024-05-11T15:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 1-0 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2024-04-13T14:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 4-3 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2023-11-18T12:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 3-0 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2023-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 0-4 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2023-05-20T15:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 2-0 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2023-04-22T14:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 2-3 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2022-11-26T12:00:00.000Z · Gloria Băneasa 3-0 Voluntari II (Liga III - Serie 3)
Liga III - Serie 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 28 |
| 2 | Tunari | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Blejoi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Berca | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Voința Crevedia | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Progresul Draganesti | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Pucioasa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Urban Titu | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | Râmnicu Sărat | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 | Plopeni | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 11 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.