Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Matchweek 110:00

2 – 4

Saturday, 22 August 2026

· Analysis updated 05:30 UTC

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W vs Csikszereda MC W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.75 expected goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 1.91 for Csikszereda MC W, a combined total of 4.65. That distribution gives Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win

55.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.75 – 1.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Csikszereda MC W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 18% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.75 goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 1.91 for Csikszereda MC W, a combined 4.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win56%
Draw18%
Csikszereda MC W win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 2–16.9%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 3–16.3%
  • 3–26.0%
  • 1–15.0%

Recent form

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W

  • 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)

Csikszereda MC W

  • 2026-10-21T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga 1 Feminin table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win, at 55.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.