· Analysis updated 02:54 UTC
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W vs Farul Constanţa W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 4.50 for Farul Constanţa W, a combined total of 5.75. That distribution gives Farul Constanţa W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 88%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 88% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Farul Constanţa W win
87.7% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Farul Constanţa W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Farul Constanţa W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 88%, against 5% / 7% / 88% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 4.50 for Farul Constanţa W, a combined 5.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
12%
Double chance 12
93%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–46.8%
- 1–56.1%
- 1–36.0%
- 0–45.4%
- 0–54.9%
Recent form
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)
Farul Constanţa W
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda MC W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Cluj W · 8-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Csikszereda MC W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 24 |
| 2 | Farul Constanţa W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 21 |
| 3 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 15 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -51 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -79 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Farul Constanţa W win, at 87.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 88% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.