Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Matchweek 1411:00

11:00 UTC

Wednesday, 2 December 2026

· Analysis updated 14:54 UTC

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W vs Olimpia Cluj W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.20 expected goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 1.70 for Olimpia Cluj W, a combined total of 5.90. That distribution gives Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win

79.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

4.20 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Olimpia Cluj W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 11% / 10% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 4.20 goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 1.70 for Olimpia Cluj W, a combined 5.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win79%
Draw11%
Olimpia Cluj W win10%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals91%
Over 3.5 goals81%
Both teams to score78%

Correct score

  • 4–16.0%
  • 3–15.7%
  • 4–25.1%
  • 5–15.1%
  • 3–24.9%

Recent form

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W

  • 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)

Olimpia Cluj W

  • 2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-8 (L)
  • 2026-09-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga 1 Feminin table

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Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win, at 79.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.