· Analysis updated 12:21 UTC
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W vs SSU Poli Timişoara W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.70 expected goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 3.23 for SSU Poli Timişoara W, a combined total of 6.93. That distribution gives Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 95% for over 2.5 goals and 92% for both teams to score, with 3–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win
49.0% probability
Expected goals
3.70 – 3.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 16% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.70 goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 3.23 for SSU Poli Timişoara W, a combined 6.93 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 95% and both teams to score at 92%, with 3–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–34.6%
- 3–24.3%
- 4–34.3%
- 4–24.0%
- 2–33.8%
Recent form
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)
SSU Poli Timişoara W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 92% and over 2.5 goals at 95%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.