· Analysis updated 22:41 UTC
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W vs Unirea Alba Iulia W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.21 expected goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 1.56 for Unirea Alba Iulia W, a combined total of 4.77. That distribution gives Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win
69.7% probability
Expected goals
3.21 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Unirea Alba Iulia W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 15% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.21 goals for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and 1.56 for Unirea Alba Iulia W, a combined 4.77 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.3%
- 2–16.8%
- 4–15.8%
- 3–25.7%
- 2–25.3%
Recent form
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)
Unirea Alba Iulia W
- 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 7-2 (W)
- 2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletic Olimpia Gherla W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-05-03T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win, at 69.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.