· Analysis updated 06:37 UTC
Gloria Bistriţa vs Slatina Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Gloria Bistriţa and 1.38 for Slatina, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Slatina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.6% probability
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gloria Bistriţa home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slatina away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slatina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 31% / 27% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.16 goals for Gloria Bistriţa and 1.38 for Slatina, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–07.9%
Recent form
Gloria Bistriţa
- 2026-10-24T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Dumbrăviţa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T10:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Bacau · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 1-2 (L)
Slatina
- 2026-10-24T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Slobozia · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs CSM Reşiţa · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Craiova · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Arges Pitesti · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Slatina | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Chindia Targoviste | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Popești-Leordeni | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Cetatea Suceava | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Metalul Buzău | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | CSM Reşiţa | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Concordia | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 10 | Bihor Oradea | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 11 | Gloria Bistriţa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | CS Afumati | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Metaloglobus | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | ASA Targu Mures | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Unirea Slobozia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 7 |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 21 | Ştefăneşti | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 | Dumbrăviţa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.