Gobelins vs Quevilly Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Gobelins and 1.14 for Quevilly, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Gobelins the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Gobelins win

47.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Gobelins win47%

Draw25%

Quevilly win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–111.9%
1–010.4%
2–19.4%
2–08.2%
0–17.5%

Why the model likes this

Quevilly away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gobelins to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Gobelins and 1.14 for Quevilly, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Gobelins

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Villefranche · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Quevilly · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Orleans · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Caen · 4-3 (W)

Quevilly

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gobelins · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oissel · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.