· Analysis updated 15:58 UTC
Gödöllő vs Kisvárda II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Gödöllő and 1.15 for Kisvárda II, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Gödöllő the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.2% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gödöllő home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Kisvárda II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gödöllő to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 27% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Gödöllő and 1.15 for Kisvárda II, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.4%
Recent form
Gödöllő
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Cigand SE · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszaújváros · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ózd Sajóvölgye · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Debreceni VSC · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eger · 4-0 (W)
Kisvárda II
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Tarpa · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Cigand SE · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tiszaújváros · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Ózd Sajóvölgye · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 30 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | DEAC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 26 |
| 4 | Debrecen II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Kisvárda II | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Diósgyőr II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Gödöllő | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Mátészalka | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Eger | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 10 | Tiszaújváros | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Füzesabony | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Hajdúnánás | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 10 |
| 14 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.