· Analysis updated 15:37 UTC
Gödöllő vs Tiszaújváros Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Gödöllő and 1.00 for Tiszaújváros, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives Gödöllő the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gödöllő win
54.4% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gödöllő home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tiszaújváros away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gödöllő to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 24% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Gödöllő and 1.00 for Tiszaújváros, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.3%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–06.6%
Recent form
Gödöllő
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Cigand SE · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszaújváros · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ózd Sajóvölgye · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Debreceni VSC · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eger · 4-0 (W)
Tiszaújváros
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisvárda II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karancslapujtő · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza II · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | DEAC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | Kisvárda II | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Debrecen II | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Diósgyőr II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Mátészalka | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Gödöllő | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Eger | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 16 |
| 10 | Füzesabony | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Tiszaújváros | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hajdúnánás | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gödöllő win, at 54.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.