Goiânia vs Goianésia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Goiânia and 0.75 for Goianésia, a combined total of 1.60. That distribution gives Goiânia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 22% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

70.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.85 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Goiânia home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Goianésia away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Goiânia win35%

Draw35%

Goianésia win30%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals48%

Over 2.5 goals22%

Over 3.5 goals8%

Both teams to score30%

Correct score

0–020.2%
1–017.2%
0–115.1%
1–112.9%
2–07.3%

Recent form

Goiânia

2026-10-03T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Crixás EC · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Tupy FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-23T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Morrinhos · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Bom Jesus EC · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-13T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Rio Verde · 1-2 (L)

Goianésia

2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Bom Jesus EC · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-07T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Crixás EC · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-03T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Tupy FC · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-27T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Mineiros · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Verde · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 0-0 Goianésia (Goiano - 2)
2025-07-05T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 3-1 Goianésia (Serie D)
2025-05-10T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 0-1 Goianésia (Serie D)
2025-02-13T22:30:00.000Z · Goiânia 1-3 Goianésia (Goiano - 1)
2024-02-03T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 1-0 Goianésia (Goiano - 1)
2023-01-28T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 1-1 Goianésia (Goiano - 1)
2020-11-01T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 1-1 Goianésia (Serie D)
2020-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 0-1 Goianésia (Serie D)
2020-03-01T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 2-1 Goianésia (Goiano - 1)
2020-02-01T19:00:00.000Z · Goiânia 0-1 Goianésia (Goiano - 1)

Goiano - 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rio Verde	16	9	5	2	14	32
2	Bom Jesus EC	17	8	7	2	9	31
3	Goianésia	17	8	6	3	5	30
4	Mineiros	16	7	4	5	3	25
5	Morrinhos	17	6	4	7	0	22
6	Goiânia	16	4	8	4	-1	20
7	Tupy FC	16	4	6	6	-2	18
8	Crixás EC	17	3	7	7	-7	16
9	Trindade	16	2	6	8	-10	12
10	Grêmio Anápolis	16	2	5	9	-11	11

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 22%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.