· Analysis updated 15:40 UTC
Goiás U20 vs Mirassol U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Goiás U20 and 0.95 for Mirassol U20, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives Goiás U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Goiás U20 win
55.4% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Goiás U20 home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mirassol U20 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Goiás U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 24% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Goiás U20 and 0.95 for Mirassol U20, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.9%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–06.9%
Recent form
Goiás U20
- 2026-07-01T23:00:00.000Z · H vs CRB U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético GO U20 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Cerrado EC U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Mirassol U20 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-23T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Cerrado EC U20 · 1-1 (D)
Mirassol U20
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Santos U20 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ponte Preta U20 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Portuguesa U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sertãozinho U20 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Itapirense U20 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Goiás U20 win, at 55.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.