Gol Gohar Sport Complex · Analysis updated 17:17 UTC
Gol Gohar vs Kheybar Khorramabad Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Gol Gohar and 1.13 for Kheybar Khorramabad, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Gol Gohar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.9% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gol Gohar home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kheybar Khorramabad away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–110.0%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.4%
Recent form
Gol Gohar
- 2026-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kheybar Khorramabad · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-19T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Esteghlal FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Muharraq · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-08T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Esteghlal Khuzestan · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Al-Jazira · 0-0 (D)
Kheybar Khorramabad
- 2026-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Gol Gohar · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Esteghlal Khuzestan · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Persepolis FC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-09T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Chadormalu SC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-07T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Nassaji Mazandaran · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2025-10-31T13:30:00.000Z · Gol Gohar 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad (Persian Gulf Pro League)
- 2025-03-06T15:15:00.000Z · Gol Gohar 2-0 Kheybar Khorramabad (Persian Gulf Pro League)
- 2025-02-14T11:30:00.000Z · Gol Gohar 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad (Hazfi Cup)
- 2024-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · Gol Gohar 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad (Persian Gulf Pro League)
- 2017-03-30T12:30:00.000Z · Gol Gohar 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad (Azadegan League)
- 2016-11-13T11:00:00.000Z · Gol Gohar 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad (Azadegan League)
- 2016-10-29T10:15:00.000Z · Gol Gohar 1-1 Kheybar Khorramabad (Azadegan League)
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persepolis FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | Sepahan FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Tractor Sazi | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Esteghlal FC | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Foolad FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Aluminium Arak | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gol Gohar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Chadormalu SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Paykan | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Malavan | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | ZOB Ahan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Sanat Naft | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -13 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.