Gold Coast Knights vs WDSC Wolves Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.40 for WDSC Wolves, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Gold Coast Knights the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Gold Coast Knights win

53.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Gold Coast Knights home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
WDSC Wolves away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Gold Coast Knights win53%

Draw21%

WDSC Wolves win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

2–19.3%
1–19.0%
2–06.7%
2–26.5%
3–16.5%

Recent form

Gold Coast Knights

2026-08-29T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Moreton City Excelsior · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-14T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Brisbane Roar II · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Peninsula Power · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-01T05:15:00.000Z · A vs Gold Coast United · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-25T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Gold Coast United · 1-1 (D)

WDSC Wolves

2026-08-14T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Magic United · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Eastern Suburbs · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-31T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Brisbane City · 5-2 (W)
2026-07-18T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Gold Coast Knights · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-10T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Peninsula Power · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-07-18T06:00:00.000Z · Gold Coast Knights 1-2 WDSC Wolves (Queensland NPL)
2026-04-17T09:30:00.000Z · Gold Coast Knights 4-0 WDSC Wolves (Queensland NPL)
2025-06-08T07:00:00.000Z · Gold Coast Knights 4-2 WDSC Wolves (Queensland NPL)
2025-03-01T08:15:00.000Z · Gold Coast Knights 2-0 WDSC Wolves (Queensland NPL)
2024-05-25T08:15:00.000Z · Gold Coast Knights 5-3 WDSC Wolves (Queensland NPL)
2024-02-23T09:30:00.000Z · Gold Coast Knights 9-0 WDSC Wolves (Queensland NPL)

Queensland NPL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lions	22	17	2	3	35	53
2	Peninsula Power	22	13	6	3	22	45
3	Moreton City Excelsior	22	12	3	7	16	39
4	Gold Coast Knights	22	11	5	6	14	38
5	Brisbane City	22	9	7	6	-1	34
6	WDSC Wolves	22	9	6	7	-4	33
7	Eastern Suburbs	22	9	2	11	-1	29
8	Olympic	22	8	2	12	-4	26
9	Magic United	22	7	1	14	-26	22
10	Rochedale Rovers	22	6	3	13	-18	21
11	Gold Coast United	22	6	2	14	-13	20
12	Brisbane Roar II	22	5	1	16	-20	16

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Gold Coast Knights win, at 53.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.