Macedonia · Second League · Regular Season - 2914:30

16

Saturday, 16 May 2026

SkopjeWWWWW

· Analysis updated 05:49 UTC

Golemo Konjari vs Skopje Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.40 expected goals for Golemo Konjari and 4.44 for Skopje, a combined total of 4.83. That distribution gives Skopje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 96%, with the draw at 3%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 96% favourite still loses or draws roughly 4% of the time.

Model pick

Skopje to Win

96.1% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.40 – 4.44

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Golemo Konjari win1%
Draw3%
Skopje win96%

Double chance 1X

4%

Double chance 12

97%

Double chance X2

99%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals67%
Both teams to score31%

Correct score

  • 0–412.9%
  • 0–311.6%
  • 0–511.4%
  • 0–68.4%
  • 0–27.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Skopje away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Skopje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 96%, against 1% / 3% / 96% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.40 goals for Golemo Konjari and 4.44 for Skopje, a combined 4.83 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 31%, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Golemo Konjari

    Skopje

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Second League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Bregalnica Štip3022535571
    2Skopje3023255371
    3Shkëndija Haraçinë3021634869
    4Ohrid3021546168
    5Belasica3018483658
    6Osogovo3016682654
    7Novaci3015691651
    8Detonit Plachkovica3014792449
    9Kozuv Gevgelija3012992445
    10Teteks30133141242
    11Sasa309912-636
    12Vardar Negotino306420-5822
    13Sloga Vinica304323-5315
    14FK Prespa Resen305025-4615
    15Pobeda303225-9811
    16Golemo Konjari302127-947

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.