· Analysis updated 16:47 UTC
GOR Mahia vs Pyramids FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.12 expected goals for GOR Mahia and 1.51 for Pyramids FC, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Pyramids FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pyramids FC win
46.3% probability
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.51
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
GOR Mahia home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Pyramids FC away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pyramids FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 28% / 26% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.12 goals for GOR Mahia and 1.51 for Pyramids FC, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–08.1%
Recent form
GOR Mahia
- 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pyramids FC · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Pyramids FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rayon Sports · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hilal Omdurman · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri · 1-0 (W)
Pyramids FC
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs GOR Mahia · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AL Masry · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-27T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Abu Qair Semad · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pyramids FC win, at 46.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.