· Analysis updated 16:22 UTC
Górnik Zabrze U19 vs Miedź Legnica U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Górnik Zabrze U19 and 1.33 for Miedź Legnica U19, a combined total of 2.28. That distribution gives Miedź Legnica U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Miedź Legnica U19 win
45.3% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Górnik Zabrze U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Miedź Legnica U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Miedź Legnica U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 27% / 28% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for Górnik Zabrze U19 and 1.33 for Miedź Legnica U19, a combined 2.28 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.6%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.3%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–29.0%
Recent form
Górnik Zabrze U19
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Miedź Legnica U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Jagiellonia U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Arka Gdynia U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Raków Częstochowa U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 0-2 (L)
Miedź Legnica U19
- 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Rzeszów U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Talent Warszawa U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Lech Poznań U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Korona Kielce U19 · 6-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Central Youth League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miedź Legnica U19 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa U19 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Śląsk Wrocław U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisła Kraków U19 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Zagłębie Lubin U19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia U19 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Arkonia U19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Raków Częstochowa U19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Lech Poznań U19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Górnik Zabrze U19 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 11 | Talent Warszawa U19 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Polonia Warszawa U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Stal Rzeszów U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce U19 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Escola Varsovia U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia U19 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Miedź Legnica U19 win, at 45.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.