· Analysis updated 00:02 UTC
Górnik Zabrze U19 vs Stal Rzeszów U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.89 expected goals for Górnik Zabrze U19 and 0.87 for Stal Rzeszów U19, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives Górnik Zabrze U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Górnik Zabrze U19 win
61.3% probability
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.87
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Górnik Zabrze U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stal Rzeszów U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Górnik Zabrze U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 22% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.89 goals for Górnik Zabrze U19 and 0.87 for Stal Rzeszów U19, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.9%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 3–07.1%
Recent form
Górnik Zabrze U19
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Miedź Legnica U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Jagiellonia U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Arka Gdynia U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Raków Częstochowa U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 0-2 (L)
Stal Rzeszów U19
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Zagłębie Lubin U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Central Youth League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa U19 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Miedź Legnica U19 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Śląsk Wrocław U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisła Kraków U19 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Górnik Zabrze U19 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Zagłębie Lubin U19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia U19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Arkonia U19 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Raków Częstochowa U19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Lech Poznań U19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Talent Warszawa U19 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Polonia Warszawa U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Stal Rzeszów U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce U19 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia U19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 | Escola Varsovia U19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Górnik Zabrze U19 win, at 61.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.