Arena Zabrze · Analysis updated 04:16 UTC
Gornik Zabrze vs Odra Opole Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.77 for Odra Opole, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Gornik Zabrze the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gornik Zabrze win
57.6% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.77
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gornik Zabrze home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Odra Opole away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gornik Zabrze to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 25% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.77 for Odra Opole, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.7%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–09.1%
Recent form
Gornik Zabrze
- 2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Widzew Łódź · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Piast Gliwice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Jagiellonia · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Odra Opole · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Motor Lublin · 0-0 (D)
Odra Opole
- 2026-10-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Pogoń Siedlce · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Ruch Chorzów · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Miedz Legnica · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Gornik Zabrze · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Nieciecza · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gornik Zabrze win, at 57.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.