GOŠK Gabela vs Čapljina Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.31 expected goals for GOŠK Gabela and 0.75 for Čapljina, a combined total of 3.06. That distribution gives GOŠK Gabela the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

GOŠK Gabela win

72.5% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.31 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Čapljina away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates GOŠK Gabela to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 17% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.31 goals for GOŠK Gabela and 0.75 for Čapljina, a combined 3.06 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 48%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

GOŠK Gabela win73%

Draw17%

Čapljina win10%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

2–012.5%
1–010.8%
3–09.6%
2–19.4%
1–18.1%

Recent form

GOŠK Gabela

Čapljina

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Zvijezda Gradačac · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TOŠK Tešanj · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Budućnost Banovići · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tomislav · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Vitez · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - FBiH table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Posušje	11	8	3	0	10	27
2	Travnik	11	8	1	2	12	25
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	6	3	2	10	21
4	Stupčanica Olovo	11	6	2	3	13	20
5	GOŠK Gabela	11	6	2	3	7	20
6	Igman Konjic	11	5	4	2	4	19
7	TOŠK Tešanj	11	5	2	4	4	17
8	Bratstvo Gračanica	11	3	5	3	-2	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	11	3	4	4	1	13
10	Vitez	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	11	3	2	6	1	11
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	3	1	7	-6	10
13	Budućnost Banovići	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Rudar Kakanj	11	2	2	7	-12	8
15	Čapljina	11	2	2	7	-13	8
16	Tomislav	11	2	2	7	-15	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is GOŠK Gabela win, at 72.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.