Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 1711:00
Göteborg WWWWDL

2 – 1

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Husqvarna WDWLWL

Gamla Ullevi · Analysis updated 04:37 UTC

Göteborg W vs Husqvarna W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Göteborg W and 1.05 for Husqvarna W, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Göteborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Göteborg W win

63.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Göteborg W home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Husqvarna W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Göteborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 20% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.20 goals for Göteborg W and 1.05 for Husqvarna W, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Göteborg W win64%
Draw20%
Husqvarna W win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 3–17.2%

Recent form

Göteborg W

  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Elfsborg W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs KIF Örebro W · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-09T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Husqvarna W · 2-1 (W)

Husqvarna W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2316613454
2KIF Örebro W2317243253
3Göteborg W2315623451
4Linköping W2313461043
5Umeå W2312561741
6Husqvarna W23959-232
7Trelleborg W23959-732
8Jitex W23779-728
9Örebro SK W237511-1326
10Enskede W237412-1025
11Alingsås W235711-1122
12Gamla Upsala W235513-1220
13Sandviken W233515-3714
14Häcken II W232219-288

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Göteborg W win, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.