Football Field Adeje · Referee M. Lopez · Analysis updated 10:08 UTC
Granad. Tenerife W vs Sevilla W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Granad. Tenerife W and 1.21 for Sevilla W, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Granad. Tenerife W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Granad. Tenerife W win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.21
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Granad. Tenerife W home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sevilla W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.3%
Recent form
Granad. Tenerife W
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Madrid W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Levante Badalona W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Edf Logrono W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Valencia W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sevilla W · 1-3 (L)
Sevilla W
- 2026-10-24T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Athletic Club W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Alavés W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Levante Badalona W · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eibar W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Granad. Tenerife W · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 1-3 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2026-04-26T11:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 3-0 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2025-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 4-0 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2025-02-02T11:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 2-0 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2024-09-14T10:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 4-1 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2024-03-23T11:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 5-0 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2023-10-04T16:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 1-5 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2023-05-14T10:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 3-1 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2022-12-03T11:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 2-2 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
- 2022-03-13T12:00:00.000Z · Granad. Tenerife W 1-0 Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina)
Primera División Femenina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Athletic Club W | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Madrid CFF W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Eibar W | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Deportivo de La Coruña W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Granad. Tenerife W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Granada | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Espanyol W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Edf Logrono W | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Sevilla W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | FC Levante Badalona W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Deportivo Alavés W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Valencia W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Granad. Tenerife W win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.