Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Play-offs · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals16:00

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Saturday, 6 June 2026

· Analysis updated 06:35 UTC

Grasshopper II vs Amical Saint-Prex Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Grasshopper II and 1.00 for Amical Saint-Prex, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Grasshopper II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Grasshopper II home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Amical Saint-Prex away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Grasshopper II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 35% / 31% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Grasshopper II and 1.00 for Amical Saint-Prex, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Grasshopper II win35%
Draw31%
Amical Saint-Prex win35%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 0–013.5%
  • 0–113.5%
  • 1–013.5%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–26.8%

Recent form

Grasshopper II

  • 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Zug · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bassecourt · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Amical Saint-Prex · 1-1 (D)

Amical Saint-Prex

  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Biel-Bienne · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Luzern II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulle · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Lugano II · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Play-offs table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Amical Saint-Prex422058
2Langenthal421127
3YF Juventus420236
4Servette II4112-44
5Courtételle2101-13
6Grasshopper II202002
7Taverne2011-11
8Tuggen2011-41

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.