· Analysis updated 08:32 UTC
Grasshopper W vs Zürich W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Grasshopper W and 1.71 for Zürich W, a combined total of 3.86. That distribution gives Grasshopper W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Grasshopper W win
48.1% probability
Expected goals
2.15 – 1.71
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Grasshopper W home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Zürich W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.3%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–16.0%
Recent form
Grasshopper W
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Yverdon W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Rapperswil Jona W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarau W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarau W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Aarau W · 2-0 (W)
Zürich W
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rapperswil Jona W · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarau W · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Luzern W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Yverdon W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Servette Chênois W · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-01T17:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 0-0 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2026-04-24T17:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 0-2 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2025-12-07T14:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 2-4 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2025-08-27T17:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 2-0 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2024-12-08T13:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 1-1 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2024-08-31T14:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 0-0 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2024-02-10T19:30:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 1-2 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2023-09-17T11:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 0-1 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2023-05-27T14:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 1-5 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
- 2023-05-20T17:00:00.000Z · Grasshopper W 2-3 Zürich W (AXA Women’s Super League)
AXA Women’s Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Servette Chênois W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Zürich W | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Young Boys W | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Grasshopper W | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Basel W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Luzern W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rapperswil Jona W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Yverdon W | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | St. Gallen W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
| 10 | Aarau W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -21 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Grasshopper W win, at 48.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.