· Analysis updated 16:50 UTC
Grbalj vs Mladost Lješkopolje Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.29 expected goals for Grbalj and 1.67 for Mladost Lješkopolje, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Mladost Lješkopolje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mladost Lješkopolje win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Grbalj home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mladost Lješkopolje away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mladost Lješkopolje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 30% / 24% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.29 goals for Grbalj and 1.67 for Mladost Lješkopolje, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–17.2%
Recent form
Grbalj
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal Tivat · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 0-1 (L)
Mladost Lješkopolje
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mladost Lješkopolje win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.